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-------- Original Message --------
Subject: International Outrage: Influenza A (H1N1) - worldwide (02): case counts
Date: Fri, 01 May 2009 00:02:31 -0700
From: "Stephen M. Apatow" <s.m.apatow@humanitarian.net>
To: promed@promed.isid.harvard.edu

Dear Colleagues:

The level of outrage regarding the inability of states to conduct on site testing for pandemic H1N1, has led to a perception of no confidence in the statistics.  Without validated tests, municipalities and states have no capacity to implement rapid response to this public health emergency.  Guessing on suspect cases, choosing which ones we will test and waiting 2-3 days because samples need to be shipped to the CDC lab in Atlanta, represents a public health infrastructure disgrace

This scenario brings to mind the sharp comments by the director of DOD GEIS, who stood up at at my table during the U.S. Medicine Institute for Health Studies Forum "Food, Air, Water, and Terrorism: Assessing the Risk" (sponsored by the Department of Defense, Global Emerging Infections System and Annapolis Center: 29 January 2002), when he shared with the audience that a public health infrastructure in the United States did not exist.  6 years later, in the midst of a WHO pandemic level 5 scenario, I now understand why he said what he did.  Roger Breeze did the PCR presentation at this meeting and my paper "Agricultural Security and Emergency Preparedness: Protecting One of America's Infrastructures" was a reference point for agricultural security.

All I know, is that the Department of Defense can fast track a reagent within hours for use in hand held satellite linked PCR device.  This molecular diagnostics technology has existed for years but has not yet reached the grassroots physician/veterinarian level.   If the United States does not have the technological capability for surveillance, containment and control, then nor does any other UN member country.

Related
Until these gaps have been addressed, there exists no capacity for confidence in case counts or epidemiological analysis. 

Stephen M. Apatow
Founder, Director of Research and Development
Pathobiologics International



Humanitarian Resource Institute
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Stephen M. Apatow
President, Director of Research and Development, Humanitarian University Consortium Graduate Studies Center for Medicine, Veterinary Medicine and Law

 
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